Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-30 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-29 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-19 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 41% | |
| 2025-09-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 50% | |
| 2025-02-02 | 5–1 | Arsenal +4 | Arsenal 52% | |
| 2024-09-22 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 55% | |
| 2024-03-31 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 57% | |
| 2023-10-08 | 1–0 | Arsenal +1 | Manchester City 43% | |
| 2023-04-26 | 4–1 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 63% | |
| 2023-02-15 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 40% | |
| 2022-01-01 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 46% | |
| 2021-08-28 | 5–0 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2021-02-21 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 57% | |
| 2020-10-17 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 56% | |
| 2020-06-17 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 68% | |
| 2019-12-15 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 52% | |
| 2019-02-03 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 63% | |
| 2018-08-12 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 46% | |
| 2018-03-01 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 53% | |
| 2017-11-05 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 60% | |
| 2017-04-02 | 2–2 | Draw | Arsenal 38% | |
| 2016-12-18 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 40% | |
| 2016-05-08 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 47% | |
| 2015-12-21 | 2–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 42% | |
| 2015-01-18 | 0–2 | Arsenal +2 | Manchester City 55% | |
| 2014-09-13 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 36% | |
| 2014-03-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 39% | |
| 2013-12-14 | 6–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 47% | |
| 2013-01-13 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 36% | |
| 2012-09-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 52% | |
| 2012-04-08 | 1–0 | Arsenal +1 | Manchester City 37% | |
| 2011-12-18 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 57% | |
| 2011-01-05 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 49% | |
| 2010-10-24 | 0–3 | Arsenal +3 | Manchester City 42% | |
| 2010-04-24 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 41% |