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Premier League
Wed, Dec 2, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT

Manchester City vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 67% chance to win.

5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
Model Probability
67%
13%
Draw 19%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.0%7.4%3.7%
If Win 1.3%34.7%8.8%1.5%
If Draw <1%23.4%8.7%3.5%
If Lose <1%18.1%7.6%5.0%

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 49.0%97.2%1.1%<1%
If Win 52.7%98.0%1.0%<1%
If Draw 42.6%95.5%1.9%<1%
If Lose 37.5%94.0%2.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatLeeds
5Games played5
2.6Avg goals scored1.4
1.0Avg goals conceded0.6
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatLeeds
6All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws)1
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
2.8Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Leeds 0–1 Manchester City