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Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 56% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL
vs
Model Probability
20%
Draw 24%
56%
Premier League
Arsenal
9-0-1Rating 2091
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 78.3%99.6%<1%<1%
If Win 80.2%99.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 72.2%99.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 66.3%99.1%<1%<1%

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.6%4.3%7.3%
If Win <1%12.2%7.3%3.6%
If Draw <1%7.0%5.5%6.7%
If Lose <1%4.3%4.2%9.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatArsenal
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored1.5
1.6Avg goals conceded0.5
30% / 30% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss90% / 0% / 10%
20% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatArsenal
5All-time wins (30 meetings, 3 draws)22
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.7Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-04-25): Arsenal 1–0 Newcastle