Premier League
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 2:05 PM GMT
Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability
Brighton has a 50% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 26%
Model Prediction Through Season
Newcastle
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 23.6% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| If Win | 1.2% | 33.6% | 9.9% | 1.5% |
| If Draw | <1% | 23.9% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| If Lose | <1% | 18.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
Brighton
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.9% | 58.8% | 8.5% | <1% |
| If Win | 4.8% | 64.4% | 8.4% | <1% |
| If Draw | 2.9% | 55.0% | 9.1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 1.8% | 44.9% | 9.3% | 1.0% |
| Brighton | Stat | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 3.2 | Avg goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.0 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 60% / 20% / 20% | Win / Draw / Loss | 40% / 40% / 20% |
| 67% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Brighton | Stat | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | All-time wins (20 meetings, 8 draws) | 5 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 1 |
| 1.1 | Average goals | 0.9 |