Premier League
Wed, Dec 2, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Newcastle vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability
Newcastle has a 41% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 26.6% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| If Win | 1.1% | 36.4% | 11.9% | 1.6% |
| If Draw | <1% | 25.8% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
| If Lose | <1% | 19.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
Newcastle
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 23.6% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| If Win | <1% | 31.9% | 8.9% | 2.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | 16.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 40% / 40% / 20% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 40% / 40% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Manchester Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | All-time wins (30 meetings, 6 draws) | 15 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 2 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 1.8 |