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Newcastle vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Newcastle has a 44% chance to win.
Premier League
Wed, Dec 2, 2026 · 8:15 PM GMT
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL
vs
Model Probability
44%
Draw 27%
29%
Premier League
Manchester Utd
1-5-4Rating 1892
Form: DLLDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%4.1%3.0%14.8%
If Win <1%5.6%4.1%7.8%
If Draw <1%3.4%2.9%14.0%
If Lose <1%2.1%1.9%19.3%

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.9%5.2%8.4%
If Win <1%9.5%6.1%4.1%
If Draw <1%5.6%4.6%8.0%
If Lose <1%3.1%3.0%12.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatManchester Utd
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored1.4
1.6Avg goals conceded1.9
30% / 30% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss10% / 50% / 40%
20% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatManchester Utd
9All-time wins (30 meetings, 6 draws)15
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-03-04): Newcastle 2–1 Manchester Utd