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Premier League
Wed, Dec 2, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT

Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 37% chance to win.

0-3-2 · Rating 1890
Form: LDDDL
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
Model Probability
35%
37%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.3%57.4%8.5%<1%
If Win 5.7%66.5%8.3%<1%
If Draw 2.5%55.4%9.6%<1%
If Lose 1.6%46.5%9.0%<1%

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%8.2%4.4%12.9%
If Win <1%12.8%5.5%9.1%
If Draw <1%7.0%4.1%12.4%
If Lose <1%5.6%3.4%18.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BournemouthStatBrighton
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored3.2
1.6Avg goals conceded1.0
0% / 60% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BournemouthStatBrighton
9All-time wins (20 meetings, 5 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-01-19): Brighton 1–1 Bournemouth