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Cardiff vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Cardiff has a 49% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Mar 2, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Championship
Cardiff
4-6-5Rating 1623
Form: WDLWD
vs
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
25%
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%54.9%
If Win <1%<1%1.1%44.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%55.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%61.1%

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.6%11.0%
If Win <1%<1%9.8%7.3%
If Draw <1%<1%6.3%11.0%
If Lose <1%<1%4.6%15.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CardiffStatDerby
15Games played15
1.8Avg goals scored0.9
1.8Avg goals conceded2.0
27% / 40% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss13% / 27% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CardiffStatDerby
11All-time wins (24 meetings, 7 draws)6
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.5Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-08-22): Derby 2–2 Cardiff