Championship
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
Cardiff vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability
Cardiff has a 38% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Birmingham
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 3.0% | 29.6% | 6.1% |
| If Win | 1.2% | 4.0% | 36.5% | 3.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.4% | 28.9% | 7.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | 1.8% | 23.7% | 8.8% |
Cardiff
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 5.8% | 33.2% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 8.6% | 26.0% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 5.9% | 34.1% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 3.3% | 42.7% |
| Cardiff | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 12% / 50% / 38% | Win / Draw / Loss | 25% / 62% / 12% |
| 25% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Cardiff | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | All-time wins (22 meetings, 8 draws) | 3 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 1 |
| 1.4 | Average goals | 0.8 |