Championship
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 12:30 PM BST
Sheffield Utd vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability
Sheffield Utd has a 47% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 6.9% | 32.3% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 10.6% | 22.1% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 7.0% | 31.2% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 5.4% | 37.2% |
Sheffield Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 1.0% | 16.5% | 14.2% |
| If Win | <1% | 1.4% | 21.2% | 8.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | 1.0% | 15.1% | 14.7% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 11.5% | 19.2% |
| Sheffield Utd | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.1 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 25% / 38% / 38% | Win / Draw / Loss | 12% / 25% / 62% |
| 25% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Sheffield Utd | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | All-time wins (13 meetings, 2 draws) | 4 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 2 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 1.0 |