Championship
Wed, Oct 14, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST
QPR vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability
QPR has a 49% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 8.7% | 32.9% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 11.8% | 21.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 6.3% | 30.3% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 5.0% | 36.8% |
QPR
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1.0% | 3.2% | 32.3% | 5.2% |
| If Win | 1.6% | 4.7% | 37.9% | 2.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.4% | 29.9% | 5.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | 1.9% | 23.7% | 8.4% |
| QPR | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 38% / 50% / 12% | Win / Draw / Loss | 12% / 25% / 62% |
| 25% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| QPR | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | All-time wins (24 meetings, 6 draws) | 10 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.0 |