Championship
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
Derby vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability
Derby has a 45% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Stoke
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 1.3% | 20.5% | 12.2% |
| If Win | <1% | 1.9% | 27.9% | 5.3% |
| If Draw | <1% | 1.6% | 18.6% | 10.9% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 13.8% | 14.9% |
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 7.0% | 31.6% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 11.0% | 23.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 5.8% | 34.2% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 4.1% | 40.1% |
| Derby | Stat | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 12% / 25% / 62% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 12% / 38% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Derby | Stat | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | All-time wins (12 meetings, 4 draws) | 4 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 1.0 |