Championship
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
Stoke vs Bristol City Prediction & Win Probability
Stoke has a 40% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Bristol City
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2.4% | 27.8% | 6.4% |
| If Win | 1.0% | 3.8% | 37.5% | 3.7% |
| If Draw | <1% | 3.0% | 26.8% | 5.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | 1.8% | 23.6% | 9.6% |
Stoke
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 1.3% | 19.7% | 11.4% |
| If Win | <1% | 1.9% | 25.1% | 6.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 16.3% | 12.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 14.0% | 16.1% |
| Stoke | Stat | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 50% / 12% / 38% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 12% / 38% |
| 75% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Stoke | Stat | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | All-time wins (16 meetings, 2 draws) | 8 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.4 | Average goals | 1.3 |