Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-16 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-06 | 2–0 | Derby +2 | Derby 51% | |
| 2025-08-09 | 3–1 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 40% | |
| 2025-05-03 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 45% | |
| 2024-11-02 | 2–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 45% | |
| 2021-12-30 | 1–2 | Derby +1 | Stoke 51% | |
| 2021-09-18 | 2–1 | Derby +1 | Derby 37% | |
| 2021-03-20 | 1–0 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 52% | |
| 2020-12-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 41% | |
| 2020-01-31 | 4–0 | Derby +4 | Derby 44% | |
| 2019-08-17 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 40% | |
| 2019-03-13 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 46% | |
| 2018-11-28 | 2–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 48% |