Championship
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability
Millwall has a 50% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 7.2% | 30.9% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 11.6% | 21.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 7.4% | 31.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 4.7% | 37.9% |
Millwall
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1.1% | 3.7% | 33.7% | 4.2% |
| If Win | 1.4% | 5.0% | 39.1% | 2.7% |
| If Draw | 1.0% | 3.0% | 29.8% | 5.9% |
| If Lose | <1% | 2.0% | 25.6% | 7.7% |
| Millwall | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.9 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.9 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 38% / 25% / 38% | Win / Draw / Loss | 12% / 25% / 62% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Millwall | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | All-time wins (24 meetings, 8 draws) | 6 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 0 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.0 |