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Championship
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Derby vs Norwich Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 40% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
3-0-5 · Rating 1654
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
40%
33%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Norwich

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.7%22.7%10.0%
If Win <1%3.0%31.4%4.8%
If Draw <1%1.0%21.0%9.6%
If Lose <1%<1%18.5%13.3%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.5%31.9%
If Win <1%<1%11.2%24.1%
If Draw <1%<1%5.7%31.4%
If Lose <1%<1%4.6%37.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatNorwich
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored2.0
1.8Avg goals conceded2.1
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 0% / 62%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatNorwich
5All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-04-21): Norwich 2–1 Derby