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Wed, Oct 14, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Norwich vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 39% chance to win.

3-0-5 · Rating 1654
Form: LLWWL
VS
4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
33%
39%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.6%28.0%53.7%<1%
If Win 15.4%33.9%53.8%<1%
If Draw 9.6%26.0%55.0%<1%
If Lose 7.2%19.8%55.6%<1%

Norwich

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.9%22.9%9.7%
If Win <1%3.3%29.8%5.3%
If Draw <1%1.3%22.3%10.4%
If Lose <1%1.0%16.9%12.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NorwichStatSouthampton
8Games played8
2.0Avg goals scored2.4
2.1Avg goals conceded1.2
38% / 0% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NorwichStatSouthampton
4All-time wins (15 meetings, 4 draws)7
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.0Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-03-18): Southampton 1–0 Norwich