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Championship
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · 12:00 PM BST

Southampton vs Portsmouth Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 60% chance to win.

4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
VS
2-2-3 · Rating 1629
Form: DDWLL
Model Probability
60%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Portsmouth

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.4%13.6%17.2%
If Win <1%1.7%22.8%9.0%
If Draw <1%1.3%17.3%14.0%
If Lose <1%<1%10.6%19.7%

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 11.7%27.7%51.9%<1%
If Win 13.7%32.4%53.7%<1%
If Draw 9.3%23.2%54.7%<1%
If Lose 6.1%18.0%52.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SouthamptonStatPortsmouth
8Games played7
2.4Avg goals scored1.3
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 29% / 43%
100% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SouthamptonStatPortsmouth
0All-time wins (4 meetings, 4 draws)0
0Last 4 meetings (4 draws)0
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-01-25): Portsmouth 1–1 Southampton