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Championship
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Derby vs Charlton Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 44% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
3-3-2 · Rating 1624
Form: LDDLD
Model Probability
44%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Charlton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.2%19.3%11.6%
If Win <1%2.0%24.3%8.0%
If Draw <1%1.2%18.9%12.0%
If Lose <1%1.2%15.7%13.9%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.0%32.4%
If Win <1%<1%9.2%25.3%
If Draw <1%<1%6.0%32.5%
If Lose <1%<1%4.7%37.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatCharlton
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored0.9
1.8Avg goals conceded1.2
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 38% / 25%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatCharlton
9All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-08-15): Charlton 2–1 Derby