Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-02 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-22 | 2–2 | Draw | Derby 48% | |
| 2025-01-25 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 48% | |
| 2024-09-14 | 1–0 | Derby +1 | Derby 47% | |
| 2022-05-07 | 0–1 | Cardiff +1 | Derby 47% | |
| 2022-03-01 | 1–0 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 43% | |
| 2021-03-02 | 4–0 | Cardiff +4 | Cardiff 57% | |
| 2020-10-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 36% | |
| 2020-07-14 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 45% | |
| 2019-09-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 43% | |
| 2018-04-24 | 3–1 | Derby +2 | Cardiff 36% | |
| 2017-09-30 | 0–0 | Draw | Cardiff 49% | |
| 2017-02-14 | 3–4 | Cardiff +1 | Derby 54% | |
| 2016-09-27 | 0–2 | Derby +2 | Cardiff 44% | |
| 2016-04-02 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 42% | |
| 2015-11-21 | 2–0 | Derby +2 | Derby 48% | |
| 2015-01-31 | 0–2 | Derby +2 | Derby 43% | |
| 2014-09-20 | 2–2 | Draw | Derby 49% | |
| 2013-03-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Cardiff 56% | |
| 2012-11-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 38% | |
| 2012-04-17 | 2–0 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 52% | |
| 2011-11-02 | 0–3 | Cardiff +3 | Derby 41% | |
| 2011-04-02 | 4–1 | Cardiff +3 | Cardiff 57% | |
| 2010-08-14 | 1–2 | Cardiff +1 | Derby 44% | |
| 2010-05-02 | 2–0 | Derby +2 | Derby 38% |