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Championship
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Wrexham vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Wrexham has a 49% chance to win.

2-4-2 · Rating 1656
Form: WLDDW
VS
1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
Model Probability
49%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.5%30.3%
If Win <1%<1%9.7%22.4%
If Draw <1%<1%6.7%31.1%
If Lose <1%<1%4.8%35.0%

Wrexham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.2%27.4%6.9%
If Win <1%3.0%32.0%5.2%
If Draw <1%2.0%25.0%7.5%
If Lose <1%1.5%21.6%9.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WrexhamStatDerby
8Games played8
1.1Avg goals scored0.9
1.5Avg goals conceded1.8
25% / 50% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 25% / 62%
25% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WrexhamStatDerby
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draws)0
1.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-01-04): Derby 1–2 Wrexham