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Derby vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Burnley has a 37% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Feb 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
vs
Model Probability
35%
Draw 28%
37%
Championship
Burnley
1-7-7Rating 1656
Form: LDDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.7%19.6%
If Win <1%<1%5.8%13.1%
If Draw <1%<1%2.9%21.0%
If Lose <1%<1%2.2%26.1%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%53.2%
If Win <1%<1%<1%46.1%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%56.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%63.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatBurnley
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored1.5
2.0Avg goals conceded2.1
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss7% / 47% / 47%
12% Home win % / Away win % 12%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatBurnley
0All-time wins (13 meetings, 5 draws)8
0Last 5 meetings (4 draws)1
0.5Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-09-19): Burnley 1–1 Derby