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Derby vs Bristol City Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 41% chance to win.
Championship
Wed, Dec 9, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
vs
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
31%
Championship
Bristol City
5-3-7Rating 1613
Form: LLWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bristol City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%4.7%14.8%
If Win <1%<1%8.5%8.1%
If Draw <1%<1%4.8%13.8%
If Lose <1%<1%3.4%20.9%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%55.1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%45.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%56.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%64.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatBristol City
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored1.1
2.0Avg goals conceded1.6
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 20% / 47%
12% Home win % / Away win % 43%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatBristol City
9All-time wins (25 meetings, 6 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-01-30): Bristol City 0–5 Derby