Championship
Wed, Dec 9, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Derby vs Bristol City Prediction & Win Probability
Derby has a 41% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Bristol City
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2.4% | 27.7% | 6.8% |
| If Win | 1.3% | 3.7% | 35.1% | 3.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.5% | 26.8% | 6.2% |
| If Lose | <1% | 1.8% | 23.9% | 8.3% |
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 7.6% | 30.5% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 10.4% | 23.4% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 5.3% | 32.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 4.5% | 39.2% |
| Derby | Stat | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 12% / 25% / 62% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 12% / 38% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Derby | Stat | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | All-time wins (25 meetings, 6 draws) | 10 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.5 | Average goals | 1.2 |