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Championship
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Blackburn vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Blackburn has a 47% chance to win.

2-3-3 · Rating 1638
Form: DWLLD
VS
1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.5%30.1%
If Win <1%<1%10.7%21.7%
If Draw <1%<1%6.9%30.0%
If Lose <1%<1%5.0%36.6%

Blackburn

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.0%17.6%13.0%
If Win <1%2.0%23.0%8.9%
If Draw <1%<1%15.9%13.1%
If Lose <1%<1%12.3%18.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BlackburnStatDerby
8Games played8
1.5Avg goals scored0.9
1.5Avg goals conceded1.8
25% / 38% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 25% / 62%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BlackburnStatDerby
10All-time wins (22 meetings, 5 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.4Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Derby 3–1 Blackburn