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Derby vs Lincoln Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 42% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
vs
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
31%
Championship
Lincoln
4-3-8Rating 1610
Form: LLLWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lincoln

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.2%23.3%
If Win <1%<1%4.9%13.5%
If Draw <1%<1%3.5%21.3%
If Lose <1%<1%2.0%30.3%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%54.2%
If Win <1%<1%<1%46.3%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%57.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%64.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatLincoln
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored1.0
2.0Avg goals conceded1.7
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss27% / 20% / 53%
12% Home win % / Away win % 38%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatLincoln
1All-time wins (4 meetings, 2 draws)1
1Last 4 meetings (2 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2024-01-20): Lincoln 0–0 Derby