← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Preston vs Derby

Preston vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Preston has a 41% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Preston
2-2-11Rating 1568
Form: WLLDL
vs
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
31%
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%55.4%
If Win <1%<1%<1%42.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%54.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%64.5%

Preston

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%74.9%
If Win <1%<1%<1%67.2%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%77.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%83.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PrestonStatDerby
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored0.9
2.0Avg goals conceded2.0
13% / 13% / 73%Win / Draw / Loss13% / 27% / 60%
25% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PrestonStatDerby
3All-time wins (21 meetings, 5 draws)13
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.6Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Preston 0–1 Derby