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Championship
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Preston vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Preston has a 41% chance to win.

1-1-6 · Rating 1595
Form: DLLWL
VS
1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
Model Probability
41%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.3%31.8%
If Win <1%<1%9.2%23.9%
If Draw <1%<1%7.1%31.3%
If Lose <1%<1%5.6%38.1%

Preston

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%2.7%47.2%
If Win <1%<1%3.9%40.7%
If Draw <1%<1%2.7%51.3%
If Lose <1%<1%1.5%57.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PrestonStatDerby
8Games played8
1.0Avg goals scored0.9
1.9Avg goals conceded1.8
12% / 12% / 75%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 25% / 62%
25% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PrestonStatDerby
3All-time wins (21 meetings, 5 draws)13
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.6Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Preston 0–1 Derby