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Bristol City vs Swansea Prediction & Win Probability

Bristol City has a 37% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
Championship
Bristol City
5-3-7Rating 1613
Form: LLWDL
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
Championship
Swansea
8-2-5Rating 1663
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.1%6.2%45.3%<1%
If Win 3.7%8.7%50.7%<1%
If Draw 2.3%5.6%45.6%<1%
If Lose 1.1%3.4%36.4%<1%

Bristol City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.4%14.3%
If Win <1%<1%8.7%8.6%
If Draw <1%<1%5.2%14.5%
If Lose <1%<1%2.8%18.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bristol CityStatSwansea
15Games played15
1.1Avg goals scored1.5
1.6Avg goals conceded1.2
33% / 20% / 47%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 13% / 33%
25% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bristol CityStatSwansea
8All-time wins (19 meetings, 4 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
0.9Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Swansea 1–0 Bristol City