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Championship
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT

Bristol City vs Swansea Prediction & Win Probability

Bristol City has a 40% chance to win.

4-1-3 · Rating 1641
Form: WLLWW
VS
5-2-1 · Rating 1673
Form: WWLDW
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.9%12.5%50.1%1.2%
If Win 5.7%15.6%55.6%<1%
If Draw 4.4%12.1%50.4%1.2%
If Lose 2.9%8.9%46.8%1.5%

Bristol City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.1%27.8%6.9%
If Win <1%4.0%34.5%4.0%
If Draw <1%2.4%27.6%6.9%
If Lose <1%1.4%21.0%8.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bristol CityStatSwansea
8Games played8
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.5Avg goals conceded0.8
50% / 12% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 25% / 12%
50% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bristol CityStatSwansea
8All-time wins (19 meetings, 4 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
0.9Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Swansea 1–0 Bristol City