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Championship
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 12:00 PM GMT

Swansea vs Cardiff Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 54% chance to win.

5-2-1 · Rating 1673
Form: WWLDW
VS
1-4-3 · Rating 1604
Form: WLDLL
Model Probability
54%
21%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.0%32.5%
If Win <1%<1%8.9%23.3%
If Draw <1%<1%5.8%33.8%
If Lose <1%<1%3.9%38.9%

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.6%11.0%49.5%1.1%
If Win 4.7%14.1%54.2%<1%
If Draw 3.4%10.7%49.1%1.1%
If Lose 2.0%6.5%45.2%2.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatCardiff
8Games played8
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
0.8Avg goals conceded1.5
62% / 25% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 50% / 38%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatCardiff
9All-time wins (17 meetings, 2 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2025-01-18): Cardiff 3–0 Swansea