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Swansea vs Cardiff Prediction & Win Probability

Swansea has a 50% chance to win.
Championship
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 12:00 PM GMT
Championship
Swansea
8-2-5Rating 1663
Form: LLWLL
vs
Model Probability
50%
Draw 26%
24%
Championship
Cardiff
4-6-5Rating 1623
Form: WDLWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.5%9.8%
If Win <1%<1%13.1%4.9%
If Draw <1%<1%7.8%9.7%
If Lose <1%<1%4.8%13.6%

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.4%6.2%44.0%<1%
If Win 3.0%7.9%49.9%<1%
If Draw 1.5%5.1%43.4%<1%
If Lose <1%3.1%35.6%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatCardiff
15Games played15
1.5Avg goals scored1.8
1.2Avg goals conceded1.8
53% / 13% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss27% / 40% / 33%
57% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatCardiff
9All-time wins (17 meetings, 2 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2025-01-18): Cardiff 3–0 Swansea