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Tue, Nov 24, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Middlesbrough vs Swansea Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 46% chance to win.

4-3-1 · Rating 1684
Form: DDWWD
VS
5-2-1 · Rating 1673
Form: WWLDW
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.2%11.3%51.0%1.3%
If Win 6.7%17.0%57.2%<1%
If Draw 4.2%12.4%51.1%1.2%
If Lose 2.4%8.3%49.1%1.6%

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.9%11.0%51.2%1.2%
If Win 5.0%14.2%54.7%<1%
If Draw 3.0%10.4%48.4%1.1%
If Lose 2.6%6.9%44.6%1.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatSwansea
8Games played8
2.0Avg goals scored1.6
1.5Avg goals conceded0.8
50% / 38% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 25% / 12%
75% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatSwansea
9All-time wins (21 meetings, 5 draws)7
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Swansea 2–2 Middlesbrough