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Middlesbrough vs Swansea Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 50% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Nov 24, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Championship
Middlesbrough
8-5-2Rating 1702
Form: DLWWD
vs
Model Probability
50%
Draw 26%
24%
Championship
Swansea
8-2-5Rating 1663
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.5%6.3%45.6%<1%
If Win 4.0%11.1%53.2%<1%
If Draw 2.2%6.7%43.9%<1%
If Lose 1.0%3.3%38.1%<1%

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.1%21.5%56.3%<1%
If Win 13.7%27.8%57.0%<1%
If Draw 8.4%18.5%58.5%<1%
If Lose 5.6%13.9%54.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatSwansea
15Games played15
2.0Avg goals scored1.5
1.3Avg goals conceded1.2
53% / 33% / 13%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 13% / 33%
71% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatSwansea
9All-time wins (21 meetings, 5 draws)7
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Swansea 2–2 Middlesbrough