Championship
Fri, Oct 23, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
Bolton vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability
Middlesbrough has a 39% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Middlesbrough
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.4% | 10.3% | 52.1% | 1.1% |
| If Win | 5.3% | 15.0% | 54.6% | <1% |
| If Draw | 3.3% | 9.5% | 50.2% | 1.2% |
| If Lose | 2.0% | 7.3% | 45.0% | 1.8% |
Bolton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 9.4% | 24.1% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 14.1% | 16.6% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 9.1% | 22.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 5.8% | 29.6% |
| Bolton | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.9 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 38% / 12% / 50% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 38% / 12% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Bolton | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | All-time wins (12 meetings, 1 draws) | 10 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 5 |
| 0.6 | Average goals | 1.9 |