Championship
Fri, Nov 27, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability
Southampton has a 52% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 25%
Model Prediction Through Season
Middlesbrough
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.9% | 11.2% | 52.9% | 1.1% |
| If Win | 6.6% | 17.1% | 56.2% | <1% |
| If Draw | 3.5% | 11.4% | 53.6% | <1% |
| If Lose | 2.8% | 8.5% | 46.9% | 1.5% |
Southampton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 11.6% | 27.9% | 54.0% | <1% |
| If Win | 14.4% | 32.6% | 53.1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 10.4% | 24.0% | 55.3% | <1% |
| If Lose | 7.0% | 18.4% | 57.1% | <1% |
| Southampton | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 50% / 25% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 38% / 12% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Southampton | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | All-time wins (10 meetings, 4 draws) | 3 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (4 draws) | 1 |
| 1.1 | Average goals | 1.2 |