Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability
Southampton has a 51% chance to win.
Championship
Fri, Nov 27, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
vs
Model Probability
51%
Draw 26%
23%
Model Prediction Through Season
Middlesbrough
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 9.5% | 21.3% | 57.1% | <1% |
| If Win | 19.0% | 35.2% | 52.7% | <1% |
| If Draw | 11.7% | 23.1% | 57.1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 6.5% | 16.0% | 58.8% | <1% |
Southampton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 22.3% | 40.5% | 49.6% | <1% |
| If Win | 29.5% | 49.4% | 44.9% | <1% |
| If Draw | 19.4% | 38.9% | 51.3% | <1% |
| If Lose | 15.2% | 29.3% | 55.6% | <1% |
| Southampton | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Games played | 15 |
| 1.9 | Avg goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.0 | Avg goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 53% / 27% / 20% | Win / Draw / Loss | 53% / 33% / 13% |
| 86% | Home win % / Away win % | 38% |
| Southampton | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | All-time wins (10 meetings, 4 draws) | 3 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (4 draws) | 1 |
| 1.1 | Average goals | 1.2 |