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Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

West Ham vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

West Ham has a 55% chance to win.

4-3-1 · Rating 1814
Form: DWWWW
VS
4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
55%
20%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 11.4%27.5%54.7%<1%
If Win 22.5%41.6%48.0%<1%
If Draw 12.3%29.2%52.8%<1%
If Lose 6.4%23.1%56.0%<1%

West Ham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 50.5%72.8%24.8%<1%
If Win 56.7%78.6%20.0%<1%
If Draw 48.6%69.7%26.8%<1%
If Lose 37.9%61.0%34.8%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

West HamStatSouthampton
8Games played8
2.8Avg goals scored2.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
50% / 38% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
West HamStatSouthampton
12All-time wins (26 meetings, 8 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.5Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2025-04-19): West Ham 1–1 Southampton