Championship
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Watford vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability
Middlesbrough has a 39% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Middlesbrough
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.7% | 10.5% | 51.2% | 1.0% |
| If Win | 4.7% | 13.5% | 56.0% | <1% |
| If Draw | 3.2% | 10.4% | 50.8% | 1.1% |
| If Lose | 2.2% | 7.5% | 44.8% | 1.4% |
Watford
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 9.0% | 27.6% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 12.4% | 18.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 8.4% | 26.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 5.4% | 33.0% |
| Watford | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 25% / 25% / 50% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 38% / 12% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Watford | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | All-time wins (23 meetings, 5 draws) | 7 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 2 |
| 1.3 | Average goals | 1.2 |