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Middlesbrough vs Bristol City Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 57% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Middlesbrough
8-5-2Rating 1702
Form: DLWWD
vs
Model Probability
57%
Draw 24%
19%
Championship
Bristol City
5-3-7Rating 1613
Form: LLWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bristol City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.5%15.7%
If Win <1%<1%9.6%7.5%
If Draw <1%<1%5.9%13.3%
If Lose <1%<1%3.6%17.0%

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 9.1%21.6%56.0%<1%
If Win 12.2%25.7%58.7%<1%
If Draw 8.0%17.9%57.3%<1%
If Lose 5.3%13.1%54.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatBristol City
15Games played15
2.0Avg goals scored1.1
1.3Avg goals conceded1.6
53% / 33% / 13%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 20% / 47%
71% Home win % / Away win % 43%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatBristol City
6All-time wins (27 meetings, 6 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.1Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Middlesbrough 1–1 Bristol City