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Championship
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Birmingham vs Swansea Prediction & Win Probability

Birmingham has a 41% chance to win.

2-5-1 · Rating 1650
Form: DWLDD
VS
5-2-1 · Rating 1673
Form: WWLDW
Model Probability
41%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.8%11.5%50.5%<1%
If Win 6.8%17.1%54.9%<1%
If Draw 2.9%10.9%50.1%<1%
If Lose 2.8%9.1%45.0%1.7%

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.0%30.8%6.4%
If Win <1%3.3%34.9%3.8%
If Draw <1%2.0%27.7%7.0%
If Lose <1%1.7%23.6%8.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BirminghamStatSwansea
8Games played8
1.5Avg goals scored1.6
1.4Avg goals conceded0.8
25% / 62% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 25% / 12%
0% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BirminghamStatSwansea
4All-time wins (14 meetings, 8 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.3Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Swansea 1–1 Birmingham