Stoke vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability
Stoke has a 37% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Model Prediction Through Season
Birmingham
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 8.9% | 20.0% | 57.0% | <1% |
| If Win | 12.8% | 26.0% | 58.6% | <1% |
| If Draw | 8.8% | 19.5% | 56.9% | <1% |
| If Lose | 5.2% | 13.9% | 54.4% | <1% |
Stoke
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1.8% | 4.7% | 43.2% | <1% |
| If Win | 3.3% | 8.2% | 49.4% | <1% |
| If Draw | 1.8% | 4.6% | 40.7% | <1% |
| If Lose | 1.1% | 3.1% | 35.0% | <1% |
| Stoke | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Games played | 15 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.9 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 60% / 13% / 27% | Win / Draw / Loss | 53% / 33% / 13% |
| 57% | Home win % / Away win % | 57% |
| Stoke | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws) | 7 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 1 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.2 |