Championship
Wed, Nov 25, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Burnley vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability
Burnley has a 47% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Birmingham
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2.8% | 29.3% | 6.3% |
| If Win | 1.2% | 4.4% | 37.3% | 3.3% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.5% | 29.6% | 6.1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 1.6% | 24.5% | 9.5% |
Burnley
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 16.9% | 13.3% |
| If Win | <1% | 1.8% | 22.5% | 11.1% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 15.5% | 14.4% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 11.7% | 20.6% |
| Burnley | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.1 | Avg goals scored | 1.5 |
| 2.1 | Avg goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 0% / 50% / 50% | Win / Draw / Loss | 25% / 62% / 12% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Burnley | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws) | 4 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (3 draws) | 0 |
| 1.8 | Average goals | 1.6 |