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Burnley vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability

Burnley has a 39% chance to win.
Championship
Wed, Nov 25, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Championship
Burnley
1-7-7Rating 1656
Form: LDDLL
vs
Model Probability
39%
Draw 28%
33%
Championship
Birmingham
8-5-2Rating 1696
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 9.2%18.9%57.2%<1%
If Win 14.7%27.8%57.1%<1%
If Draw 8.1%18.6%59.1%<1%
If Lose 6.3%13.8%56.8%<1%

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%4.0%21.6%
If Win <1%<1%5.9%14.0%
If Draw <1%<1%2.9%20.6%
If Lose <1%<1%2.3%27.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BurnleyStatBirmingham
15Games played15
1.5Avg goals scored1.9
2.1Avg goals conceded0.9
7% / 47% / 47%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 33% / 13%
0% Home win % / Away win % 57%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BurnleyStatBirmingham
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.8Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2022-12-27): Burnley 3–0 Birmingham