Oilers @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Oilers 0 - Lightning 0
Thursday, November 19, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Edmonton
Oilers
12-6 Rating 1525
Form: WWLLW
@
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-6 Rating 1549
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Oilers Lightning
All-time wins 24 24
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 2.9 3.0
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Oilers Lightning
Games played 18 17
Avg goals scored 4.2 3.7
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.1
Win percentage 67% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 88% 100%