Blackhawks @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Blackhawks 1 - Lightning 4
Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Chicago
Blackhawks
4-12 Rating 1405
Form: WLLLL
1 – 4
Model Probability
27%
73%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +2.0
Tampa Bay
Lightning
9-5 Rating 1547
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blackhawks Lightning
All-time wins 26 39
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.6 3.0
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Blackhawks Lightning
Games played 16 14
Avg goals scored 2.2 3.7
Avg goals conceded 3.9 3.2
Win percentage 25% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%