Lightning @ Mammoth

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 4 - Mammoth 5
Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
7-3 Rating 1550
Form: LWWWL
4 – 5
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Utah Mammoth +0.1
Utah
Mammoth
7-4 Rating 1507
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Mammoth
All-time wins 27 18
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.2 2.6
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Mammoth
Games played 10 11
Avg goals scored 3.4 3.7
Avg goals conceded 2.9 3.3
Win percentage 70% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 75%