Wild @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Wild 2 - Lightning 3
Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Minnesota
Wild
2-1 Rating 1528
Form: LLWWL
2 – 3
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6
Tampa Bay
Lightning
2-1 Rating 1542
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Wild Lightning
All-time wins 23 14
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.1 2.6
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Wild Lightning
Games played 3 3
Avg goals scored 3.0 2.7
Avg goals conceded 1.7 2.3
Win percentage 67% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%