Lightning @ Rangers

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 1 - Rangers 5
Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
0-0 Rating 1540
Form: LWLWL
1 – 5
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1
New York
Rangers
0-1 Rating 1471
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Rangers
All-time wins 62 64
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.0 3.1
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Rangers
Games played 0 1
Avg goals scored - 0.0
Avg goals conceded - 3.0
Win percentage - 0%
Away win % / Home win % - -