Final Score: Rangers 4 - Lightning 2
Wednesday, April 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Rangers @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rangers
33-48 Rating 1462
Form: WWLLL
Rangers
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5
Lightning
50-31 Rating 1561
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rangers Lightning
All-time wins 63 62
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.1 3.0
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Rangers Lightning
Games played 81 81
Avg goals scored 2.9 3.6
Avg goals conceded 3.1 2.8
Win percentage 41% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 65%