Final Score: Bruins 1 - Lightning 3
Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
Bruins @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Bruins | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 80 | 53 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 6 |
| Stat | Bruins | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 76 | 75 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 63% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 63% |
Recent Results
Bruins
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Dallas Stars
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Minnesota Wild
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Buffalo Sabres
Mar 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Detroit Red Wings
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Winnipeg Jets
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Montreal Canadiens
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ New Jersey Devils
Mar 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
Lightning
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Nashville Predators
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Ottawa Senators
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Seattle Kraken
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Minnesota Wild
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Calgary Flames
Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Edmonton Oilers
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2