Final Score: Penguins 3 - Lightning 6
Thursday, April 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Penguins @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Penguins | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 65 | 56 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 2 |
| Stat | Penguins | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 75 | 74 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 62% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 62% |
Recent Results
Penguins
vs Detroit Red Wings
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ New York Islanders
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Dallas Stars
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Ottawa Senators
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Colorado Avalanche
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Winnipeg Jets
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 18, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Colorado Avalanche
Mar 16, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Utah Mammoth
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Lightning
vs Montreal Canadiens
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Nashville Predators
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Ottawa Senators
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Seattle Kraken
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Minnesota Wild
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Calgary Flames
Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Edmonton Oilers
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4