Final Score: Lightning 2 - Sabres 4
Monday, April 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Sabres
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 54 | 64 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 8 |
| Stat | Lightning | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 76 | 77 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 63% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 63% |
Recent Results
Lightning
vs Boston Bruins
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Nashville Predators
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Ottawa Senators
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Seattle Kraken
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Minnesota Wild
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Calgary Flames
Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Edmonton Oilers
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
Sabres
@ Washington Capitals
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Ottawa Senators
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs New York Islanders
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Seattle Kraken
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Mar 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Boston Bruins
Mar 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Anaheim Ducks
Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Los Angeles Kings
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ San Jose Sharks
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0