Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Bruins 2
Tuesday, March 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Bruins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
29-42 Rating 1485
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Boston Bruins +0.7
Bruins
39-31 Rating 1509
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Bruins
All-time wins 102 176
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.8 3.5
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Bruins
Games played 71 70
Avg goals scored 3.1 3.3
Avg goals conceded 3.5 3.1
Win percentage 41% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 72%