Final Score: Ducks 4 - Maple Leafs 6
Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Ducks @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Ducks | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 14 | 35 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average goals | 2.4 | 3.4 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Ducks | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 64 | 65 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 42% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 47% |
Recent Results
Ducks
@ Winnipeg Jets
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs St. Louis Blues
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Montreal Canadiens
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs New York Islanders
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Colorado Avalanche
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Calgary Flames
Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Winnipeg Jets
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Edmonton Oilers
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Seattle Kraken
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Maple Leafs
@ Montreal Canadiens
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ New York Rangers
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New Jersey Devils
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Edmonton Oilers
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Calgary Flames
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2