Final Score: Maple Leafs 1 - Panthers 5
Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Panthers
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 57 | 56 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 1 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 58 | 57 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 48% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Edmonton Oilers
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Calgary Flames
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Vancouver Canucks
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Buffalo Sabres
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Minnesota Wild
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
Panthers
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Boston Bruins
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ St. Louis Blues
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Utah Mammoth
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Minnesota Wild
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Winnipeg Jets
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4