Final Score: Golden Knights 6 - Maple Leafs 3
Friday, January 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Golden Knights @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Golden Knights | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 7 | 8 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 5 |
| Stat | Golden Knights | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 49 | 50 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 57% |
Recent Results
Golden Knights
@ Boston Bruins
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Nashville Predators
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Los Angeles Kings
Jan 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ San Jose Sharks
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs St. Louis Blues
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Winnipeg Jets
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
Maple Leafs
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Minnesota Wild
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Winnipeg Jets
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Utah Mammoth
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Colorado Avalanche
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Vancouver Canucks
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Florida Panthers
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ New York Islanders
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4