Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Jets 3
Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Jets
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 72 | 67 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 5 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 47 | 46 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 33% | 48% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Utah Mammoth
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Colorado Avalanche
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Vancouver Canucks
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Florida Panthers
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ New York Islanders
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs New Jersey Devils
Dec 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Detroit Red Wings
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
Jets
@ Minnesota Wild
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs New York Islanders
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs New Jersey Devils
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Jan 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Edmonton Oilers
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Ottawa Senators
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Detroit Red Wings
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Edmonton Oilers
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3